Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 1130.219008 1288.831493 1467.332887 1684.190440 1941.980474 2240.435795 2614.736775
2025-06-08 881.593699 1082.784889 1331.338952 1665.287756 2108.878625 2687.511317 3515.714154
2025-06-15 772.353866 993.726353 1283.917005 1700.428218 2296.948188 3143.175992 4477.807711
2025-06-22 665.974804 886.809542 1189.415465 1646.229606 2340.170164 3393.293014 5193.657430
2025-06-29 588.221871 805.733357 1114.954363 1602.079551 2380.562681 3634.274216 5939.863133
2025-07-06 524.161714 735.162697 1044.570767 1550.078149 2394.350099 3827.516632 6644.029356
2025-07-13 497.081642 714.871557 1044.975967 1605.991273 2589.528364 4360.676356 8117.842066
2025-07-20 465.393739 683.642598 1023.898310 1622.199291 2716.696834 4794.613453 9523.160420
2025-07-27 443.696971 665.383463 1020.687695 1666.946912 2900.995779 5374.533620 11435.828401
2025-08-03 422.793461 646.069383 1013.090602 1701.906688 3071.315227 5962.523257 13581.800863
2025-08-10 408.085930 635.315721 1018.370340 1760.334578 3297.435056 6723.005955 16480.695713
2025-08-17 387.564455 612.800234 1000.593870 1772.080313 3427.822611 7296.156169 19110.577702
2025-08-24 363.002421 582.552254 968.311921 1755.933021 3506.058375 7792.409744 21852.940761
2025-08-31 340.477532 554.238309 937.244579 1739.224712 3583.203707 8317.523881 25028.366118
2025-09-07 327.090106 540.898473 932.411483 1775.755253 3791.653376 9257.638156 30309.676459
2025-09-14 303.925209 507.873771 886.785631 1718.679774 3760.443909 9509.277188 33064.244573
2025-09-21 284.181050 479.704285 848.107214 1672.114300 3747.866632 9816.585322 36303.515024
2025-09-28 265.355636 451.933704 807.879677 1617.308076 3704.528090 10019.037515 39242.661996
2025-10-05 259.737494 448.757981 816.686944 1676.240083 3979.680041 11358.739394 49134.730639
2025-10-12 250.400712 437.684107 808.244584 1693.328176 4142.261429 12376.630270 58420.920360
2025-10-19 244.417414 432.701224 812.007727 1740.516303 4403.511554 13867.111804 72603.438982
2025-10-26 237.865441 426.083674 811.641223 1777.393812 4642.965262 15384.777580 89387.067968
2025-11-02 233.629155 423.805476 820.440032 1839.047963 4976.530278 17462.802146 114610.695799